Decision & ChoiceBias #87

Disposition Effect

We sell winners too early and hold losers too long.

The tendency in finance to sell assets that have increased in value too quickly while holding onto losing assets too long.

Why it matters: One of the most documented behavioural biases in finance. Costs investors billions annually.

Watch for

Selling investments that are doing well while keeping underperformers.

Try this

Evaluate each holding on future prospects alone ignoring purchase price.

Real-world example

Selling a stock that gained 10% to lock in gains while refusing to sell one that dropped 20% hoping it will recover.

Key researchers

Hersh Shefrin, Meir Statman

First described in 1985

Psychological mechanism

Combined loss aversion and mental accounting. Realising a gain feels good and confirms skill. Realising a loss crystallises regret and threatens self-image so we delay it hoping the market will bail us out.

Seminal research

Hersh Shefrin and Meir Statman (1985), "The disposition to sell winners too early and ride losers too long."