Watch for
Testing ideas by looking for what confirms rather than what contradicts.
We only test our hypotheses by seeking confirming evidence.
The tendency to test hypotheses exclusively by seeking direct positive evidence rather than attempting to falsify them through disconfirming tests.
Testing ideas by looking for what confirms rather than what contradicts.
Design tests that could specifically prove your hypothesis wrong.
To test whether a plant needs more water you only check if the soil feels dry rather than also checking if it could be overwatered.
Jonathan Baron
First described in 1985
Positive test strategy. The brain defaults to asking "is this true?" rather than "could this be false?" because positive tests are easier to construct and interpret.
Jonathan Baron (1985), "Rationality and intelligence."
Biases are not character flaws. They are recurring patterns in how minds compress uncertainty, save energy, and narrate reality. Once you recognise the pattern, you can slow the decision down, test the assumption, and make space for a better explanation.