Watch for
Reacting to wording before checking the underlying facts.
Presentation changes how a choice feels.
Different presentations of the same information lead to different decisions, even when the underlying facts are identical.
Reacting to wording before checking the underlying facts.
Rewrite the choice in neutral terms and compare again.
A treatment described as having a "90% survival rate" feels better than one with a "10% mortality rate."
Daniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky
First described in 1981
Prospect Theory. Human decision-making is heavily asymmetrical. We are fundamentally risk-averse when choices are framed in terms of guaranteed gains, but we become highly risk-seeking when identical choices are framed in terms of avoiding potential losses.
Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman (1981), "The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice" (The seminal "Asian Disease Problem" experiment).
Below is a realistic scenario. Read it, then choose what you would do. The feedback will show whether a cognitive bias influenced your choice — not to judge, but to reveal the pattern in action.
This experiment places you in a realistic decision. Your instinctive choice will reveal whether bias is at work.
The framing effect reveals that humans are not rational evaluators of information — we are sensitive to context and wording. Skilled communicators can present the same facts to support opposite conclusions. The defence is to always translate framed statements into neutral, numeric form before deciding.